This Remarkable Rich Vein of Form Propels Aston Villa's Improbable Push for Glory
Just 60 days in the past that the young forward found himself on the pitch at Sunderland, seeming perplexed as his coach scolded him over missing a pass in behind. Back then, as the club failed to win in six, doubts remained whether Rogers' form were a symptom or a cause for Villa's more general malaise.
“Following Rogers' second strike… Emery discarded his jacket, extended his arms, and let out a triumphant roar.”
On Sunday, though, the sideline response was entirely decidedly more positive. When the in-form star swept in his brace-sealing goal to reclaim Villa's lead, the boss tore off his winter coat, spread his arms and shouted in triumph. The team were on their way to a tenth straight victory and having failed to win any of their first six games, now sit a mere three points behind the leaders Arsenal.
Are They Genuine Challengers?
It remains a rather hard question to resolve. The historical record, the traditional standing of Villa, indicates otherwise. Additionally, they've rarely been wholly dominant this season, even as the victories have stacked up.
As per statistical analysis, in only two games have Villa registered an expected goals figure notably superior than their opponents. For a side who have put together 10 in a row, Villa look weirdly vulnerable – yet at the moment the margins are swinging for them.
The Reliant Strategy
Their recent policy seems to be to engage in a shootout with an opponent before hoping their star man to rescue them with two clinical strikes. It happened away to Leeds, it happened against West Ham, and it happened against the Red Devils.
His opener stemmed from an exquisite effort, arced just inside the post from the edge of the area. For his second proved to be a somewhat messier replica of the opener as he seized on a pass from Watkins.
“Rogers’ right foot is now akin to Robben’s legendary left: forewarned does not mean forearmed, and stopping him is another matter entirely.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Common sense dictates no. Against United, the opposition registered a greater number of attempts and more shots on target. The team has triumphed in eight consecutive games by just one goal. They have allowed goals in all but one of those matches.
Regression to the mean might be the greatest opponent they have to face as the season progresses. Rogers, surely, cannot keep on drilling the football into the net's top corner week in, week out.
Potential for Growth
Perhaps there is a different scenario where, instead of luck running out, performances begin to trend towards results. Key players may yet rediscover their best form.
- The main striker may begin to adding to his goal tally.
- Jadon Sancho could transform into the player he was in Germany.
- The injured centre-backs are due to return from injury, strengthening a sometimes shaky backline.
Maybe within that lies the potential of a genuine bid, however, it is improbable can persist in leaning entirely on Morgan Rogers.
Enjoying the Ride
However, this is a surprise. Nobody thought the team would occupy third at Christmas. And certainly back in October, no one envisioned Rogers as the year closed would be at the forefront of a hunt for the title and appearing as a vital player for the national team.
This remarkable period is to be savoured for the very reason that it seems so surreal. When the hero positioned himself before the Villa faithful when the game ended leading the celebrations, it was clear to be relishing every moment. As he deserves to. These spells are uncommon in the sport and must be appreciated.